Research Papers

Andrés Cózar, Manuel Arias, Giuseppe Suaria, Josué Viejo, Stefano Aliani, Aristeidis Koutroulis, James Delaney, Guillaume Bonnery, Diego Macías, Robin de Vries, Romain Sumerot, Carmen Morales-Caselles, Antonio Turiel, Daniel González-Fernández and Paolo Corradi. Proof of concept for a new sensor to monitor marine litter from space. Nat Commun 15, 4637 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-48674-7.

Stamou, A., Mitsopoulos, G. & Koutroulis, A. Proposed Methodology for Climate Change Adaptation of Water Infrastructures in the Mediterranean Region. Environ. Process. 11, 12 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40710-024-00691-w.

Gnann, S., Reinecke, R., Stein, L., Wada, Y., Thiery, W., Müller Schmied, H., Satoh, Y., Pokhrel, Y., Ostberg, S., Koutroulis, A. and Hanasaki, N., 2023. Functional relationships reveal differences in the water cycle representation of global water models. Nature Water, 1(12), pp.1079-1090 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-023-00160-y.

Crippa N, Grillakis M, Tsilimigkras A, Yang G, Giuliani M, Koutroulis A, 2023. Seasonal forecast-informed reservoir operation. Potential benefits for a water-stressed Mediterranean basin. Climate Services, doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100406.

Kreibich, H. et al: Panta Rhei benchmark dataset: socio-hydrological data of paired events of floods and droughts, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 15, 2009–2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2009-2023, 2023.

Tichavský, R., Fabiánová, A., Koutroulis, A. and Spálovský, V., 2022. Occasional but severe: Past debris flows and snow avalanches in the Helmos Mts. (Greece) reconstructed from tree-ring records. Science of The Total Environment, 848, p.157759. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157759.

Kreibich, H., Van Loon, A.F., Schröter, K., Ward, P.J., Mazzoleni, M., Sairam, N., Abeshu, G.W., Agafonova, S., AghaKouchak, A., Aksoy, H. and Alvarez-Garreton, C., et al., 2022. The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management. Nature, 608(7921), pp.80-86. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-04917-5.

Sarchani, S. and Koutroulis, A.G., 2022. Probabilistic dam breach flood modeling: the case of Valsamiotis dam in Crete. Natural Hazards, 114(4) pp.1-52. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05446-0.

Hessel, R., Wyseure, G., Panagea, I.S., Alaoui, A., Reed, M.S., Van Delden, H., Muro, M., Mills, J., Oenema, O., Areal, F. and Van den Elsen, E., 2022. Soil-Improving Cropping Systems for Sustainable and Profitable Farming in Europe. Land, 11(6), p.780. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11060780.

Grillakis, M., Voulgarakis, A., Rovithakis, A., Seiradakis, K.D., Koutroulis, A., Field, R.D., Kasoar, M., Papadopoulos, A. and Lazaridis, M., 2022. Climate drivers of global wildfire burned area. Environmental Research Letters, 17(4), p.045021. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5fa1.

Thiery W., Lange S., Rogelj J., Schleussner C-F., Gudmundsson L., Seneviratne S.I., Andrijevic M., Frieler K., Emanuel K., Geiger T., Bresch D., Zhao F., Willner S.N., Büchner M., Volkholz V., Bauer N., Chang J., Ciais P., Dury M., François L., Grillakis M., Gosling S.N., Hanasaki N., Hickler T., Huber V., Ito A., Jägermeyr J., Khabarov N., Koutroulis A., Liu W., Lutz W., Mengel M., Müller C., Ostberg S., Reyer C., Stacke T., Wada Y. Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. Science. 2021; science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/.

Satoh, Y., Shiogama, H., Hanasaki, N., Pokhrel, Y.N., Boulange, J.E.S., Burek, P., Gosling, S.N., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A.G., Schmied, H.M. and Thiery, W., 2021. A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: A source of disagreement in future drought assessments. Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2348.

Tsanis IK, Seiradakis KD, Sarchani S, Panagea IS, Alexakis DD, Koutroulis AG. The Impact of Soil-Improving Cropping Practices on Erosion Rates: A Stakeholder-Oriented Field Experiment Assessment. Land. 2021; 10(9):964. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10090964.

Fernandez-Anez, N., Krasovskiy, A., Müller, M., Vacik, H., Baetens, J., Hukić, E., Kapovic Solomun, M., Atanassova, I., Glushkova, M., Bogunović, I. and Fajković, H., 2021. Current Wildland Fire Patterns and Challenges in Europe: A Synthesis of National Perspectives. Air, Soil and Water Research, 14, p.11786221211028185. https://doi.org/10.1177/11786221211028185.

Telteu, C.-E., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W., Leng, G., Burek, P., Liu, X., Boulange, J. E. S., Andersen, L. S., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S. N., Satoh, Y., Rakovec, O., Stacke, T., Chang, J., Wanders, N., Shah, H. L., Trautmann, T., Mao, G., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Samaniego, L., Wada, Y., Mishra, V., Liu, J., Döll, P., Zhao, F., Gädeke, A., Rabin, S. S., and Herz, F.: Understanding each other’s models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support intercomparison, improvement, and communication, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 3843–3878, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3843-2021, 2021.

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Alexakis, D.D., Polykretis, C. and Daliakopoulos, I.N., 2021. Regionalizing Root‐Zone Soil Moisture Estimates From ESA CCI Soil Water Index Using Machine Learning and Information on Soil, Vegetation, and Climate. Water Resources Research, 57(5), p.e2020WR029249. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR029249.

Gudmundsson L., H. X. Do, Simon N. Gosling, M. G. Grillakis, A. G. Koutroulis, M. Leonard, J. Lui, H. M. Schmied, L. Papadimitriou, Y. Pokhrel, J. Schewe, S. I. Seneviratne, W. Thiery, S. Westra, X. Zhang, F. Zhao. (2021). Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change. Science Vol. 371, 6534, pp. 1159-1162, doi:10.1126/science.aba3996.

Pokhrel, Y., Felfelani, F., Satoh, Y., Boulange, J., Burek, P., Gädeke, A., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Gudmundsson, L., Hanasaki, N., Kim, H., Koutroulis, A., Liu, J., Papadimitriou, L., Schewe, J., Müller Schmied, H., Stacke, T., Telteu, C. E., Thiery, W., Veldkamp, T., Zhao, F., Wada, Y., Global Terrestrial Water Storage and Drought Severity under Climate Change, Nature Climate Change, 11(3), pp.226-233 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w.

Reinecke, R., Müller Schmied, H., Trautmann, T., Burek, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Seaby, L., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Yusuke, S., and Döll, P.: Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble study, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-787-2021, 2021.

Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Geiger, T., Zhao, F., Vega, I., Veldkamp, T., Reyer, C.P.O., Warszawski, L., Huber, V., Jägermeyr, J., Schewe, J., Bresch, D.N., Büchner, M., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., Emanuel, K., Folberth, C., Gerten, D., Gosling, S.N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Henrot, A., Hickler, T., Honda, Y., Ito, A., Khabarov, N., Koutroulis, A., Liu, W., Müller, C., Nishina, K., Ostberg, S., Müller Schmied, H., Seneviratne, S.I., Stacke, T., Steinkamp, J., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Willner, S., Yang, H., Yoshikawa, M., Yue, C., Frieler, K., (2020). Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales. Earth’s Future. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001616.

Tramblay Y., Koutroulis A., Samaniego L., et al (2020) Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios. Earth-Science Rev 103348. doi: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103348.

Gädeke A, Krysanova V, Aryal A, Chang J, Grillakis M, Hanasaki N, Koutroulis A, Pokhrel Y, Satoh Y, Schaphoff S, Schmied HM. Performance evaluation of global hydrological models in six large Pan-Arctic watersheds. Climatic Change 163, 1329–1351 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02892-2.

Tichavský, R., Koutroulis, A., Chalupová, O., Chalupa, V., Šilhán, K. Flash flood reconstruction in the Eastern Mediterranean: Regional tree ring-based chronology and assessment of climate triggers on the island of Crete. Journal of Arid Environments 2020, 177,104135, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2020.104135.

Hunink J., G. Simons, S. Suárez, A. Solera, J. Andreu, M. Giuliani, P. Zamberletti, M. Grillakis, A. Koutroulis, I. Tsanis, F. Schasfoort, S. Contreras, E. Ercin, W. Bastiaanssen. A simplified water accounting procedure to assess climate change impact on water resources for agriculture across different European river basins. Water, 2019, 11, 1976. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11101976.

Nerantzaki, S.D., Efstathiou, D, Giannakis, G.V., Kritsotakis, M., Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., Nikolaidis, N.P. “Climate change impact on the hydrological budget of a large Mediterranean island”. Hydrological Sciences Journal. 64 (10), 2019, pp. 1190-1203. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2019.1630741.

Koutroulis A.G., Papadimitriou L.V., Grillakis M.G., Tsanis I.K., Warren R., Betts R.A., “Global water availability under high-end climate change: a vulnerability based assessment”, Global and Planetary Change, 2019, 175, pp.52-63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.01.013.

Shannon, S., Smith, R., Wiltshire, A., Payne, T., Huss, M., Betts, R., Caesar, J., Koutroulis, A., Jones, D., and Harrison, S.: Global glacier volume projections under high-end climate change scenarios, The Cryosphere, 13, 325-350, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-325-2019, 2019.

Koutroulis, A.G. “Dryland changes under different levels of global warming”. Science of the Total Environment, November 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.215.

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., “Improving seasonal forecasts for basin scale hydrological applications” Water, October 2018, 10(11), 1593; https://doi.org/10.3390/w10111593.

Koutroulis, A.G., Papadimitriou, L.V., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Ceasar K., Wyser K., Betts R.A. “Simulating hydrological impacts under climate change. Implications from methodological differences of a Pan-European assessment”, Water, September 2018, 10(10), 1331; https://doi.org/10.3390/w10101331.

Koutroulis A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., D. Jacob, “Mapping the vulnerability of European summer tourism under 2°C global warming”, Climatic Change, September 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2298-8.

Richard A. Betts, L. Alfieri, J. Caesar, J. Chang, P. Ciais, L. Feyen, P. Friedlingstein, L. Gohar, A.G. Koutroulis, L. Papadimitriou, I. Tsanis, K. Wyser, “Changes in climate extremes, fresh water availability and vulnerability to food insecurity projected at 1.5°C and 2°C global warming with a higher-resolution global climate model”, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society Α. 376 (2119), 20160452, February 2018,  doi:10.1098/rsta.2016.0452.

Jacob D., L. Kotova, C. Teichmann, S.P. Sobolowski, R. Vautard, C. Donnelly, A.G. Koutroulis, M.G. Grillakis, I.K. Tsanis, A. Damm, A. Sakalli, M.T.H. van Vliet, “Climate impacts in Europe under +1.5oC global warming”, Earth’s Future, 6(2), pp. 264-285, January 2018. doi: 10.1002/2017EF000710.

Koutroulis, A.G., Papadimitriou, L.V., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Wyser K., Betts R.A., “Freshwater vulnerability under high end climate change. A pan-European assessment” Science of the Total Environment, 613-614, pp.271-286, doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.074. September 2017.

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Tsanis, I.K., “A method to preserve trends in quantile mapping bias correction of climate modelled temperature”, Earth System Dynamics, 8(3), pp. 889-900, September 2017. doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-889-2017.

Papadimitriou, L.V., Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., “The effect of GCM biases on global runoff simulations of a land surface model”, Hydrology & Earth System Sciences, 21, pp.4379-4401, September 2017. doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4379-2017, 2017.

Daliakopoulos, I.N., Panagea, S.I., Tsanis, I.K., Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Hessel, R., Mayor, A.G., and Ritsema, C.J., “Yield Response of Mediterranean Rangelands under a Changing Climate”, Land Degradation & Development, 28 (7), pp.1962-1972, doi.org/10.1002/ldr.2717. May 2017.

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Komma, J., Tsanis, I.K., Wagner, W. and Blöschl, G., 2016. Initial soil moisture effects on flash flood generation–A comparison between basins of contrasting hydro-climatic conditions. Journal of Hydrology, 541, pp. 206-217. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.03.007.

Koutroulis, A. G., M. G. Grillakis, I. K. Tsanis, and L. Papadimitriou, 2016. Evaluation of precipitation and temperature simulation performance of the CMIP3 and CMIP5 historical experiments. Climate Dynamics, 47(5-6), pp 1881–1898, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2938-x.

Daliakopoulos, I.N., Tsanis I.K., Koutroulis, A., Kourgialas N., Varouchakis, E., Karatzas P., Ritsema C., 2016. The Threat of Soil Salinity: a European scale review. Science of the Total Environment. 573, 727-739. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.08.177.

Grillakis M.G., Koutroulis A.G., Tsanis I.K., 2016. The 2°C global warming effect on summer European tourism through different indices. International Journal of Biometeorology, 60(8), pp. 1205-1215. doi: 10.1007/s00484-015-1115-6.

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Papadimitriou, L.V., Daliakopoulos, I.N. and Tsanis, I.K., 2016. Climate induced shifts in global soil temperature regimes. Soil Science 181 (6), 264-272. doi:10.1097/SS.00000000156.

Iordanidou, V., Koutroulis, A. G., Tsanis, I.K., 2016. Investigating the relationship of lightning activity and rainfall: Case study for Crete Island. Atmospheric Research 172-173, pp. 16–27, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.12.021.

Papadimitriou, L.V., Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2016. High-end climate change impact on European runoff and low flows – exploring the effects of forcing biases. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., doi:10.5194/hess-20-1785-2016, 20 (5), pp.1785-1808.

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Seiradakis, K.D. and Tsanis, I.K., 2016. Implications of 2°C global warming in European summer tourism. Climate Services, 1, pp.30-38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2016.01.002.

Koutroulis, A. G., Grillakis M.G., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Tsanis I.K., and Jacob D., 2016. Cross sectoral impacts on water availability at +2 °C and +3 °C for east Mediterranean island states: the case of Crete. Journal of Hydrology 532, pp. 16-28. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.11.015.

Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Jacob, D., 2015. Exploring the ability of current climate information to facilitate local climate services for the water sector. Earth Perspectives. 2, 6. doi:10.1186/s40322-015-0032-5.

Iordanidou, V., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2015. Mediterranean cyclone characteristics related to precipitation occurrence in Crete, Greece. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 15 (8), pp. 1807–1819, doi:10.5194/nhess-15-1807-2015.

Iordanidou, V., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis I.K., 2015. Cyclone-precipitation analysis for the island of Crete. Special Issue of the Journal of the Black Sea/Mediterranean Environment, Vol. 21, pp. 70-73.

Panagea, I.S., Tsanis, I.K., Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., 2014. Climate change impact on Photovoltaic Energy Output: The case of Greece. Advances in Meteorology, Vol. 2014, Article ID: 264506, 11 pages, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/264506.

Iordanidou, V., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2014. A Probabilistic Rain Diagnostic Model Based on Cyclone Statistical Analysis. Advances in Meteorology, Vol. 2014, Article ID: 498020, 11 pages, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/498020.

Alexakis, D.D., M.G. Grillakis, A.G. Koutroulis, A. Agapiou, K. Themistocleous, I.K. Tsanis, S. Michaelides, S. Pashiardis, C. Demetriou, K. Aristeidou, A. Retalis, F. Tymvios, D.G. Hadjimitsis. 2014. GIS and Remote Sensing Techniques for the Assessment of Land Use Changes Impact on Flood Hydrology: the Case Study of Yialias Basin in Cyprus. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 14(2), 413-426, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-413-2014.

Tsanis, I.K., Seiradakis, K.D., Daliakopoulos I.N., Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., 2013. Assessment of Geoeye-1 Stereo-Pair Generated DEM in Flood Mapping of an Ungauged Basin. Journal of Hydroinformatics 16 (1) pp. 1–18, DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2013.197.

Tsanis, I.K., Grillakis M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Jacob D., 2013. Reducing uncertainty on global precipitation projections. Journal of Earth Science and Climate Change, 5:1, http://dx.doi.org/10.4172/2157-7617.1000178.

Grillakis. M. G., Koutroulis A. G., Tsanis I.K, 2013. Multisegment statistical bias correction of daily GCM precipitation output. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 118 (8), pp. 3150–3162, DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50323.

Alexakis D.D., Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Agapiou, A., Themistocleous, K., Tsanis, I.K., Hadjimitsis, D.G., 2013. Using spatio-temporal Marcov model for Flood mapping: The case study of Yialias river in Cyprus. Remote Sensing for Agriculture, Ecosystems, and Hydrology. SPIE 8887, Remote Sensing for Agriculture, Ecosystems, and Hydrology XV, 88870U, doi: 10.1117/12.2029276.

Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Jacob, D., 2013. Impact of climate change on water resources status: a case study for Crete Island, Greece. Journal of Hydrology 479 (4) pp. 146-158. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.055.

Vrochidou A.-E.K., I.K. Tsanis I.K., Grillakis M.G., Koutroulis A.G., 2013. The impact of climate change on hydrometeorological droughts at a basin scale. Journal of Hydrology, 476, pp. 290-301, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.10.046.

Koutroulis A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis I.K., V. Kotroni and K. Lagouvardos, 2012. Lightning activity, rainfall and flash flooding – occasional or interrelated events? A case study in the island of Crete. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 12(4), 881-891, doi:10.5194/nhess-12-881-2012.

Tsanis, I.K., Koutroulis, A.G., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Jacob, D., 2011. Severe climate-induced water shortage and extremes in Crete. Climatic Change 106 (4), pp. 667-677. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0048-2.

Grillakis. M. G., Tsanis I.K., Koutroulis A.G., 2011. Climate change impact on the hydrology of Spencer Creek watershed in Southern Ontario, Canada. Journal of Hydrology, 409(1-2), pp. 1-19, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.06.018.

Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2010. A method for estimating flash flood peak discharge in a poorly gauged basin: Case study for the 13-14 January 1994 flood, Giofyros basin, Crete. Journal of Hydrology, 385(1-4), pp.150-164, doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.02.012.

Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., Daliakopoulos, I.N., 2010. Seasonality of floods and their hydrometeorologic characteristics in the island of Crete. Journal of Hydrology 394 (1-2), pp. 90-100. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.04.025.

Koutroulis A.G., Vrochidou A., Tsanis I.K., 2010. Spatiotemporal characteristics of droughts for the island of Crete. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, pp. 206-226, doi: 10.1175/2010JHM1252.1.

Grillakis, M. G., Tsanis, I. K., and Koutroulis, A. G. 2010. Application of the HBV hydrological model in a flash flood case in Slovenia. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10(12), pp. 2713-2725, doi:10.5194/nhess-10-2713-2010.

Daliakopoulos, I.N., Grillakis, E.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2009. Tree crown detection on multispectral VHR satellite imagery. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing 75 (10), pp. 1201-1211. https://doi.org/10.14358/PERS.75.10.1201.

E. Gaume, V. Bain, P. Bernardara, O. Newinger, M. Barbuc, A. Bateman, L. Blaškovičová, G. Blöschl, M. Borga, A. Dumitrescu, I. Daliakopoulos, J. Garcia, A. Irimescu, S. Kohnova, A. Koutroulis, L. Marchi, S. Matreata, V. Medina, E. Preciso, D. Sempere-Torres, G. Stancalie, J. Szolgay, I. Tsanis, D. Velasco, A. Viglione, 2009. A compilation of data on European flash floods. Journal of Hydrology 367 (1-2), pp. 70-78. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.12.028.